{
 "item_id": "t90ba9bd7e101",
 "decision_date": "2025-10-09",
 "questions": [
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "path_h90",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-01-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "path_h180",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-04-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "path_h365",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-10-09"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h90",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-01-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h180",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-04-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h365",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-10-09"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h90",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-01-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h180",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-04-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h365",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-10-09"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h90",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-01-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h180",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-04-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h365",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-10-09"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h90",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-01-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h180",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-04-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h365",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-10-09"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h90",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-01-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h180",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-04-07"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h365",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2026-10-09"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "advanced",
    "delayed",
    "not_advanced",
    "case_ended"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "sched_motion_hearing_settlement_9019_1",
   "scheduled": {
    "class_definitions": {
     "advanced": "the step happens: the motion granted (also in part or by agreement), the claim objection sustained",
     "case_ended": "the case is converted or dismissed first",
     "delayed": "the hearing is continued or rescheduled before a ruling",
     "not_advanced": "the motion denied or withdrawn, the claim objection overruled"
    },
    "event_date": "2025-10-14",
    "event_id": "68419118:440334926:motion_hearing:860",
    "event_time": "08:30 am",
    "grace_days": 30,
    "hearing_date": null,
    "kind": "motion_hearing",
    "kind_label": "hearing on a motion",
    "motion": "settlement_9019",
    "motion_label": "motion to approve a settlement (Rule 9019)",
    "next": [
     {
      "edge": "normal",
      "from": "settlement_motion",
      "to": "settlement_order"
     }
    ],
    "scheduled_ref": "862",
    "scheme": "tier2",
    "stage": "settlement_motion",
    "subject_ref": "860",
    "tier": 2,
    "what": "hearing on a motion (motion to approve a settlement (Rule 9019))",
    "why": "settlement_motion -> settlement_order (normal): a Rule 9019 compromise (beyond the flowchart)"
   },
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2025-11-14"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "advanced",
    "delayed",
    "not_advanced",
    "case_ended"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "sched_motion_hearing_stay_relief_tort_1",
   "scheduled": {
    "class_definitions": {
     "advanced": "the step happens: the motion granted (also in part or by agreement), the claim objection sustained",
     "case_ended": "the case is converted or dismissed first",
     "delayed": "the hearing is continued or rescheduled before a ruling",
     "not_advanced": "the motion denied or withdrawn, the claim objection overruled"
    },
    "event_date": "2025-11-05",
    "event_id": "68419118:440335091:motion_hearing:861",
    "event_time": "09:00 am",
    "grace_days": 30,
    "hearing_date": null,
    "kind": "motion_hearing",
    "kind_label": "hearing on a motion",
    "motion": "stay_relief_tort",
    "motion_label": "stay relief for a tort plaintiff or to reach insurance",
    "next": [
     {
      "edge": "normal",
      "from": "lift_stay_motion",
      "to": "stay_30d"
     }
    ],
    "scheduled_ref": "861",
    "scheme": "tier2",
    "stage": "lift_stay_motion",
    "subject_ref": "861",
    "tier": 2,
    "what": "hearing on a motion (stay relief for a tort plaintiff or to reach insurance)",
    "why": "lift_stay_motion -> stay_30d (normal): a tort plaintiff or insurer proceeds outside the bankruptcy court"
   },
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-10-09",
    "2025-12-06"
   ]
  }
 ],
 "decision": {
  "horizon_qid": "path_h365",
  "price_cents": 15,
  "recovery_cents": {
   "confirmed": 30,
   "converted": 2,
   "dismissed": 10,
   "pending": 15
  }
 },
 "output_path": "/logs/artifacts/forecast.json"
}