{
 "item_id": "t954948fa1ea2",
 "decision_date": "2023-12-01",
 "questions": [
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "path_h90",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "path_h180",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "path_h365",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the U.S. Trustee's notice of appointment of an official committee of unsecured creditors, or an order appointing one",
   "event": "committee_order",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_committee_order_h90",
   "label": "creditors' committee appointed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the U.S. Trustee's notice of appointment of an official committee of unsecured creditors, or an order appointing one",
   "event": "committee_order",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_committee_order_h180",
   "label": "creditors' committee appointed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the U.S. Trustee's notice of appointment of an official committee of unsecured creditors, or an order appointing one",
   "event": "committee_order",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_committee_order_h365",
   "label": "creditors' committee appointed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order authorizing the use of cash collateral that is not an interim order",
   "event": "cash_collateral_final",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_cash_collateral_final_h90",
   "label": "final cash collateral order",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order authorizing the use of cash collateral that is not an interim order",
   "event": "cash_collateral_final",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_cash_collateral_final_h180",
   "label": "final cash collateral order",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order authorizing the use of cash collateral that is not an interim order",
   "event": "cash_collateral_final",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_cash_collateral_final_h365",
   "label": "final cash collateral order",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a Chapter 11 plan is filed (a combined plan and disclosure statement or a Subchapter V plan counts)",
   "event": "plan",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_plan_h90",
   "label": "plan filed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a Chapter 11 plan is filed (a combined plan and disclosure statement or a Subchapter V plan counts)",
   "event": "plan",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_plan_h180",
   "label": "plan filed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a Chapter 11 plan is filed (a combined plan and disclosure statement or a Subchapter V plan counts)",
   "event": "plan",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_plan_h365",
   "label": "plan filed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h90",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h180",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h365",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h90",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h180",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h365",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h90",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h180",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h365",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h90",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h180",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h365",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h90",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-02-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h180",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-05-29"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h365",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-11-30"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "granted",
    "granted_as_modified",
    "denied",
    "continued",
    "withdrawn_or_agreed",
    "case_ended"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "sched_motion_hearing_conversion_dismissal_1",
   "scheduled": {
    "class_definitions": {
     "case_ended": "the case is converted or dismissed first (for a motion to convert or dismiss, that order is `granted`)",
     "continued": "the hearing is continued, adjourned or rescheduled before a ruling (a later date set for the same subject counts, unless a ruling is recorded the same day, such as an interim or agreed order that sets a later hearing for the rest; the ruling then decides)",
     "denied": "denied (also when the court grants another motion heard with it and denies all other relief)",
     "granted": "the motion is granted or the plan / disclosure statement approved (an interim order counts; conditional approval counts): the case advances to the next stage. An agreed or consent order is withdrawn_or_agreed, even when it grants the motion",
     "granted_as_modified": "granted in part, or as modified (a plan confirmed as modified; relief granted in a more limited form than the motion asked for counts)",
     "withdrawn_or_agreed": "the motion or plan is withdrawn, or a stipulation, agreed or consent order settles it (also an agreed order that grants the motion)"
    },
    "event_date": "2023-12-18",
    "event_id": "67730065:371572844:motion_hearing:129",
    "event_time": "09:00 am",
    "grace_days": 30,
    "hearing_date": null,
    "kind": "motion_hearing",
    "kind_label": "hearing on a motion",
    "motion": "conversion_dismissal",
    "motion_label": "motion to convert or dismiss the case",
    "next": [
     {
      "edge": "conditional",
      "from": "petition",
      "to": "converted"
     },
     {
      "edge": "conditional",
      "from": "petition",
      "to": "dismissed"
     }
    ],
    "scheduled_ref": "132",
    "scheme": "tier1",
    "stage": "petition",
    "subject_ref": "129",
    "tier": 1,
    "what": "hearing on a motion (motion to convert or dismiss the case)",
    "why": "petition -> converted / dismissed (conditional): the terminal outcomes"
   },
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-01-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "granted",
    "granted_as_modified",
    "denied",
    "continued",
    "withdrawn_or_agreed",
    "case_ended"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "sched_exclusivity_expiry_1",
   "scheduled": {
    "class_definitions": {
     "case_ended": "the case is converted or dismissed first",
     "continued": "an order extends the deadline (exclusivity extended, including a bridge order)",
     "denied": "the deadline passes without a plan or an extension, or the extension is denied",
     "granted": "a plan is filed by the deadline: the case advances to the plan stage",
     "granted_as_modified": "not used for the plan deadline",
     "withdrawn_or_agreed": "not used for the plan deadline (an agreed extension counts as continued)"
    },
    "event_date": "2023-12-23",
    "event_id": "67730065:petition:exclusivity_expiry:x",
    "event_time": null,
    "grace_days": 30,
    "hearing_date": null,
    "kind": "exclusivity_expiry",
    "kind_label": "statutory plan deadline",
    "motion": null,
    "motion_label": null,
    "next": [
     {
      "edge": "required",
      "from": "meeting_341",
      "to": "plan"
     },
     {
      "edge": "conditional",
      "from": "plan",
      "to": "other_party_plan"
     }
    ],
    "scheduled_ref": null,
    "scheme": "tier1",
    "stage": "plan",
    "subject_ref": null,
    "tier": 1,
    "what": "statutory plan deadline",
    "why": "meeting_341 -> plan (required); plan -> other_party_plan (conditional): who may propose the plan; extension motions (\u00a71121(d), \u00a71189(b)) fold into this question"
   },
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2023-12-01",
    "2024-01-23"
   ]
  }
 ],
 "decision": {
  "horizon_qid": "path_h365",
  "price_cents": 20,
  "recovery_cents": {
   "confirmed": 30,
   "converted": 2,
   "dismissed": 10,
   "pending": 15
  }
 },
 "output_path": "/logs/artifacts/forecast.json"
}