{
 "item_id": "tbd9559f4c5fc",
 "decision_date": "2025-01-18",
 "questions": [
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "path_h90",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-04-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "path_h180",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-07-17"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "confirmed",
    "converted",
    "dismissed",
    "pending"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "path_h365",
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2026-01-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a Chapter 11 plan is filed (a combined plan and disclosure statement or a Subchapter V plan counts)",
   "event": "plan",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_plan_h90",
   "label": "plan filed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-04-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a Chapter 11 plan is filed (a combined plan and disclosure statement or a Subchapter V plan counts)",
   "event": "plan",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_plan_h180",
   "label": "plan filed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-07-17"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a Chapter 11 plan is filed (a combined plan and disclosure statement or a Subchapter V plan counts)",
   "event": "plan",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_plan_h365",
   "label": "plan filed",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2026-01-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h90",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-04-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h180",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-07-17"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order approves the disclosure statement, including conditional approval for solicitation",
   "event": "ds_approval",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_ds_approval_h365",
   "label": "disclosure statement approved",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2026-01-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h90",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-04-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h180",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-07-17"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "the ballot tabulation, voting report or certification of votes on the plan is filed",
   "event": "ballot",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_ballot_h365",
   "label": "ballots certified",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2026-01-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h90",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-04-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h180",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-07-17"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "an order, notice or docket text sets the hearing on confirmation of the plan",
   "event": "confirmation_hearing_set",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_confirmation_hearing_set_h365",
   "label": "confirmation hearing set",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2026-01-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h90",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-04-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h180",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-07-17"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a notice reports the plan's effective date or substantial consummation",
   "event": "consummation",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_consummation_h365",
   "label": "plan effective",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2026-01-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h90",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-04-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 180,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h180",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-07-17"
   ]
  },
  {
   "definition": "a final decree closes the case, or the clerk closes a case that was not dismissed or converted",
   "event": "final_decree",
   "horizon_days": 365,
   "id": "reach_final_decree_h365",
   "label": "final decree",
   "type": "event",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2026-01-18"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "no_objection",
    "objections_resolved",
    "objections_live"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "sched_objection_deadline_claims_objection_1",
   "scheduled": {
    "class_definitions": {
     "no_objection": "no objection, opposition or response is filed as its own docket entry by the deadline (plus the grace period); a reservation of rights that does not also object is not one, nor is a response that appears only inside another filing",
     "objections_live": "objections are filed and at least one is still live at the hearing",
     "objections_resolved": "objections are filed, but each is withdrawn or settled before the hearing"
    },
    "event_date": "2025-01-31",
    "event_id": "69068494:413942631:objection_deadline:385",
    "event_time": null,
    "grace_days": 3,
    "hearing_date": "2025-02-19",
    "kind": "objection_deadline",
    "kind_label": "objection deadline",
    "motion": "claims_objection",
    "motion_label": "objection to claims",
    "next": [
     {
      "edge": "normal",
      "from": "claim_objection",
      "to": "claim_objection_hearing"
     }
    ],
    "scheduled_ref": "385",
    "scheme": "contested",
    "stage": "claim_objection",
    "subject_ref": "385",
    "tier": 2,
    "what": "objection deadline (objection to claims)",
    "why": "the subject motion's stage and arrows; asked for tier 1-2 subjects only"
   },
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-02-20"
   ]
  },
  {
   "classes": [
    "advanced",
    "delayed",
    "not_advanced",
    "case_ended"
   ],
   "horizon_days": 90,
   "id": "sched_motion_hearing_claims_objection_1",
   "scheduled": {
    "class_definitions": {
     "advanced": "the step happens: the motion granted (also in part or by agreement), the claim objection sustained",
     "case_ended": "the case is converted or dismissed first",
     "delayed": "the hearing is continued or rescheduled before a ruling",
     "not_advanced": "the motion denied or withdrawn, the claim objection overruled"
    },
    "event_date": "2025-02-19",
    "event_id": "69068494:413942631:motion_hearing:385",
    "event_time": "10:30 am",
    "grace_days": 30,
    "hearing_date": null,
    "kind": "motion_hearing",
    "kind_label": "hearing on a motion",
    "motion": "claims_objection",
    "motion_label": "objection to claims",
    "next": [
     {
      "edge": "normal",
      "from": "claim_objection",
      "to": "claim_objection_hearing"
     }
    ],
    "scheduled_ref": "385",
    "scheme": "tier2",
    "stage": "claim_objection",
    "subject_ref": "385",
    "tier": 2,
    "what": "hearing on a motion (objection to claims)",
    "why": "proof_of_claim -> claim_objection (conditional) -> claim_objection_hearing (normal): substantive objections before confirmation decide which claims the plan will pay"
   },
   "type": "path",
   "window": [
    "2025-01-18",
    "2025-03-22"
   ]
  }
 ],
 "decision": {
  "horizon_qid": "path_h365",
  "price_cents": 5,
  "recovery_cents": {
   "confirmed": 30,
   "converted": 2,
   "dismissed": 10,
   "pending": 15
  }
 },
 "output_path": "/logs/artifacts/forecast.json"
}